Explaining Expected Threat

Expected threat (xT) for different parts of the pitch. These show the probability of a goal being scored given that a team has possession at this point of the pitch. Created by Jernej Fllsar at Twelve.
The Markov framework is one way of implementing expected Threat.
Click here for interactive version

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Professor of Applied Mathematics. Books: The Ten Equations (2020); Outnumbered (2018); Soccermatics (2016) and Collective Animal Behavior (2010).

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David Sumpter

David Sumpter

Professor of Applied Mathematics. Books: The Ten Equations (2020); Outnumbered (2018); Soccermatics (2016) and Collective Animal Behavior (2010).

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