The value of disruptive runs. Or, why Firmino is such a valuable player for Liverpool

Firmino (star) opens up space for a potential pass. Coloured arrows show direction of players (blue Everton, red Liverpool). Black arrow shows the pass that was made centrally to Mane.
Probability of team scoring given a pass (is found by multiplying probability a pass will succeed with the probability a team will score given the pass).
An off and on the ball assessment of Firmino.

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David Sumpter

David Sumpter

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Professor of Applied Mathematics. Books: The Ten Equations (2020); Outnumbered (2018); Soccermatics (2016) and Collective Animal Behavior (2010).